A full list of publications, videos and other resources to be published shortly.
A new article out in Climate Policy by Zennström professor Kevin Anderson et al.
What if negative emission technologies fail at scale? Implications of the Paris Agreement for big emitting nations
by Alice Larkin, Jaise Kuriakose, Maria Sharmina and Kevin Anderson
A cumulative emissions approach is increasingly used to inform mitigation policy. However, there are different interpretations of what ‘2°C’ implies. Here it is argued that cost-optimisation models, commonly used to inform policy, typically underplay the urgency of 2°C mitigation. The alignment within many scenarios of optimistic assumptions on negative emissions technologies (NETs), with implausibly early peak emission dates and incremental short-term mitigation, delivers outcomes commensurate with 2°C commitments. In contrast, considering equity and socio-technical barriers to change, suggests a more challenging short-term agenda. To understand these different interpretations, short-term CO2 trends of the largest CO2 emitters, are assessed in relation to a constrained CO2 budget, coupled with a ‘what if’ assumption that negative emissions technologies fail at scale. The outcomes raise profound questions around high-level framings of mitigation policy. The paper concludes that applying even weak equity criteria, challenges the feasibility of maintaining a 50% chance of avoiding 2°C without urgent mitigation efforts in the short-term. This highlights a need for greater engagement with: (1) the equity dimension of the Paris Agreement, (2) the sensitivity of constrained carbon budgets to short-term trends and (3) the climate risks for society posed by an almost ubiquitous inclusion of NETs within 2°C scenarios.
The trouble with negative emissions – Article in Science by Kevin Anderson and Glen Peters
The Paris Agreement on climate change and the carbon-reduction plans of many governments (including Sweden) are unwittingly reliant on unproven technologies to suck hundreds of billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere. On october 14, 2016 the journal Science published a Perspective co-written by Kevin Anderson and Glen Peters, in which the scale and widespread reliance on ‘negative emissions technologies’ is revealed.
Read the whole article here: http://science.sciencemag.org/content/354/6309/182
And more on Uppsala University’s website.
Reports and commisioned research
Carbon Budget and pathways to fossil-free future in Järfälla Kommun – A commisioned report by Kevin Anderson, Isak Stoddard and Jesse Schrage.
Last year, Uppsala University’s Zennström Professor in Climate Change Leadership, Kevin Anderson along with colleagues Isak Stoddard and Jesse Schrage at CEMUS, calculated a carbon budget and associated emission reduction for the Swedish Municipality of Järfälla. The report, initally in Swedish, has now been translated to English.
You can find the full report (English) here: Carbon Budget and Pathways to a fossil free future in Järfälla Kommun
The original report in Swedish, along with a recording of the event where the report was presented can be found here.
Is the EU’s plan for natural gas as a bridging fuel compatible with the carbon dioxide emission reductions enshrined in the Paris Agreement?
A new scientific report by the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change research at University of Manchester, Teeside University and CEMUS at Uppsala University and Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, has just been released. The report was comissioned by Friends of the Earth Europe.
- Read the full scientific study here.
- Read Friends of the Earth’s report and media brief here.
- Article in the Guardian on November 7: Natural gas emissions will blow Europe’s carbon budget at current levels.
- Interview on Democracy Now on November 15: Scientist Kevin Anderson: Our Socioeconomic Paradigm is Incompatible with Climate Change Objectives
Authors: Kevin Anderson,Uppsala University and University of Manchester; John Roderick, University of Manchester and Teeside University